In “The Buzz” we offer our readers a short summary of the major and relevant topics of interest in Central and Eastern Europe, provided by those best positioned to know: law firm partners and legal journalists/commentators on the ground in each CEE country.
Austria
“Hypo debacle going strong”
The Hypo/HETA/BayernLB debacle is currently occupying the time of a significant part of the legal market in Austria. According to Uwe Rautner of Rautner Attorneys at Law, the issue can be traced back to the Carinthia guarantees given out to Hypo Bank decades ago. A privatization, several recapitalizations, a nationalization, and several insolvency procedures later, BayernLB – the bank that owned Hypo for a few years, and is now looking to recover the EUR 2.4 billion in funding it provided to the bank (which it stands to lose as a result of the “Hypo” law recently passed by Austria) – has filed suit against the Austrian government, which in turn has filed a counterclaim, alleging that BayernLB withheld critical information related to the bank’s capitalization needs. At the same time, according to Rautner, Hypo bondholders – and about a third of the Austrian Parliament – have filed claims in the Austrian Constitutional Court contesting the constitutionality of the “Hypo” law that allowed for these insolvency procedures to commence at the disadvantage of certain types of bond holders. On top of it all, Rautner says, there are hundreds of civil court claims bring brought against HETA – created as an asset resolution entity for the distressed Hypo Bank – in both Austria and Germany.
The banking sector in Austria is not the only one raising considerable questions in the market. According to Mark Krenn, Partner at CHSH, the real estate business is “a particularly interesting one these days.” According to Krenn, the market tends to be very tenant-friendly with courts lately tending to favor them regardless of the nature of the tenant. On the long run, this raises concerns as to whether landlords, in particular in the case of shopping centers, are able to charge the fees they need to. At the same time, Krenn reports, the market has changed since last summer into a sellers’ market again with many players looking for good investments, but generally being faced with lower yields. “As far as investor thinking is concerned these days,” Krenn says, “investors are prepared to pay a higher price again, but they will tend to take a closer look at the assets. This is symptomatic for the real estate business across the region, really.”
Belarus
“General slow-down but a potential light at the end of the tunnel in terms of foreign investment”
The Managing Partner of Borovtsov & Salei, Vassili Salei, was caught up working on legal due diligence related to the sale of a Russian bank in Belarus (which he chose not to identify) to a foreign investor. This sale is atypical, according to Vassili, with overall investments towards the country slowing down considerably in the recent period, primarily as a result of the “Russian situation” and the resulting currency devaluation. According to Salei, the Belarusian Ruble has not yet been hit as hard as its Russian counterpart, but long-term developments are expected to lead to the same result.
The real “bread-winner” for firms in the country, according to the Borovtsov & Salei Partner, is the “day-to-day” general advisory work to clients already present in the country.
In term of pending legislation, Salei says, “there is not much to be excited about.” The one notable development is the pending discussions around potentially introducing the possibility to set up limited liability companies with only one shareholder. At the moment, he explained, they can only be set up with a minimum of two shareholders which forces potential investors to involve other subsidiaries from other jurisdictions or involve a local partner or local management. An update (which will potentially be implemented in the spring) would “greatly simplify set-up procedures and create quite a few new opportunities for businesses and lawyers advising them alike,” he said.
Croatia
“Government stepping in on loans and associates stepping in on Government concession plans”
The first of two things the Croatian market is buzzing about relates to private borrowers being hit hard by the increase in value of the Swiss Franc. With many loans being issued in the foreign currency, the Government had to step in to set a fixed exchange rate applicable to foreign currency for the purpose of loans given out to natural persons. It is unclear at the moment whether this will provide a long-term solution and what next steps the country will take to address the issue.
The second major subject of conversation relates to the Citizens’ Initiative call for a national referendum it hopes will prevent planned concessions of the motorways in the country meant to allow for private investor management. The representative of the Citizens’ Initiative is arguing that the Government could benefit considerably from directly managing and collecting fees rather than “giving the motorways away to private hands” – but not all agree.
Czech Republic
“C.C & C: Civil Code & Consolidation”
According to Martin Kubanek, Managing Partner of the Czech Schoenherr office, the Czech market is primarily focused on two things. The first is connected to a series of proposed “technical amendments” to the still relatively-recently introduced Civil Code. Kubanek explained that these amendments are likely to be implemented this upcoming spring (and then come into force in July), but there is “a considerable part of the legal industry” that is arguing that many of the proposed amendments are not really necessary and the current legislative package should be allowed to play out over the next 2-3 years before any changes are made.
The second topic of discussion, according to the Schoenherr Partner, is a topic all too commonly heard in CEE legal markets: consolidation (see page 34 for an analysis of this issue in the Turkish market). Kubanek commented: “There are a great deal of rumors running around that we will likely witness a further consolidation of the legal market in the Czech Republic.” The likely scenario, in his mind, is that some Anglo-Saxon firms might pull out of the market – or at least are seriously considering doing so (following the 2014 departures of Norton Rose and Hogan Lovells).
According to Kubanek, this is a result of two factors. First, “there are a number of hungry young spin-offs from international firms that are eating up market share in terms of bread and butter work by engaging in the type of price dumping that a firm with global overheads simply cannot sustain.” The second factor is that “big-ticket work [over EUR 500 million], where these international firms have a comparative advantage” is simply not as common in the country as it used to be.
Hungary
“What’s the next step?”
According to Szabolcs Mestyan, Partner at Lakatos Koves & Partners, the Hungarian finance transaction market is basically dead at the moment, except for subsidized loans. “This is not a new development – for new money financing has been this way for 4 years now. The question, as time passes, is when it will restart,” Mestyan explained. According to him, Hungarian banks simply are not lending these days, and even though some foreign banks are, there are no real projects to finance. “The only real activity in the market seems to be related to refinancing and restructuring deals, primarily in real estate,” he added.
“Surprisingly…M&A, M&A, M&A.”
The most interesting phenomenon, according to Mestyan, is that although most imagined that no M&As would be taking place in Hungary primarily as a result of perceived political risk, there is in fact a surprising amount of M&A work happening. He explained that it is likely equally due both to a drop in asset prices – what he called “business as usual” M&A work – and to the high number of original investors trying to exit the market.
Despite the spike in M&A work, Mestyan believes that, unfortunately, foreign investors are becoming increasingly aware of the country’s risk profile. “It did not use to be the case a few years ago,” he says. “Then, it was usually the lawyers who raised the issue of country risk (retrospective legislation, discriminatory legislations, nationalizations, etc). These days, investors are the ones raising the issue before we even get around to it.” He explained that it is not just a matter of unfortunate media coverage in the country – though such coverage does not help. Rather, Mestyan explained, many are influenced by both past negative experiences directly as well as by investors sharing experiences.
Romania
“Busiest Kick-off to The Year in The Last 10 Years”
“I have never seen a January that was this crazed,” said Serban Patriciu, a new Partner at Bondoc & Associates, who has moved recently from Popovici Nitu & Associates (see page 16). “Don’t get me wrong, being fresh in the team, I’m happy to have a lot of work on my plate.”
According to Patriciu, there are a number of potential causes for the uptake in work in recent months. First, he pointed to recent presidential elections, which he believes – at least as far as business perception is concerned – went in the right direction. “I think a considerable chunk of the transactions we are seeing in the market at the moment represent investors who were ‘on hold’ for a few months waiting to see the outcome of the elections in the country,” he said. Another potential cause, in his view, could be the recent increase in the number of high profile corruption cases being brought (see Buzz Section – Romania – Issue 1.6.), which adds to the feeling that the country is moving in the right direction for businesses “by slowly ridding the market of the cancer that corruption has represented for so many years.” A last – but hard to quantify – reason, in Patriciu’s mind, is linked to recent events in Russia, which he believes may be redirecting investors towards other CEE markets.
Speaking specifically about his area of expertise, Patriciu also noted an increase in the real estate sector. “I think the real estate market is slowly picking up – with some noticeable deals on the horizon. Probably it has to do with the fact that potential investors have realized that the market has hit rock-bottom in terms of pricing and if there was ever a time to make acquisitions, it is now.”
Serbia
“Striking no more”
After more than four months on strike (see Buzz Section – Serbia – Issue 1.5.), the Serbian Assembly conceded to the demands of the legal profession, according to Milan Lazic, Partner at Karanovic & Nikolic. According to Lazic, on January 21, 2015, the “disputed provisions of the law on Notary Public, as well as the set of accompanying laws,” were amended. “The legal profession’s request to reduce the taxation of the profession was met as well,” he added.
According to Lazic, the latest amendments have reduced the role of the Notary Public so that they maintain exclusivity for drafting only three types of legal documents: (1) Sale and Purchase agreements regarding real estates of persons without legal capacity; (2) Agreements on legal support, in accordance with the law; and (3) certain types of Mortgage Agreements and pledge statements.
Ukraine
“All talking about sporadic successes”
Everyone in Ukraine is talking about their successes here and there, according to Yuliya Chernykh, Partner at Arbitrade, but few firms openly discuss how much the market (and the firms in it) are hurting these days. “While the press releases will always focus on successful representations of client x or client y,” Chernykh said, “the reality on the ground is that the outlook for most firms in Ukraine is rather bleak with many registering budget cuts.”
According to Chernykh, with international investments steering away from the country, the focus for many firms tends to turn inward with dispute resolution and restructuring projects tending to lead in terms of the busiest practices.
There are also several pending reforms that will leave a strong mark on the legal market – reforms that will target the judicial system directly. “For example, a potential liquidation of commercial courts in Ukraine is in focus (although it is fiercely opposed by a number of litigation lawyers and other professionals),” Chernykh said. “There are also ongoing debates as to whether only lawyers admitted to the Ukrainian Bar should be allowed to represent clients in courts going forward, as at the moment, bar membership is not a requirement with only criminal proceedings requiring an advocate [a Bar-admitted lawyer] to represent parties.”
A big sign of the general state of the market is a recent vacancy that the firm posted for a “minor, mid-level lawyer” in litigation. According to Chernykh, over 400 individuals applied in little over a week. “We’re not used to such numbers, but this is a big indicator of the high competition in the market with a lot of lawyers scrambling for work.”
Thank you!
We thank the following for sharing their opinions and analysis on the news:
- Mark Krenn – Partner – CHSH
- Martin Kubanek – Managing Partner – Schoenherr
- Milan Lazic – Partner – Karanovic & Nikolic
- Serban Patriciu – Partner – Bondoc & Associates
- Szabolcs Mestyan – Partner – Lakatos Koves & Partners
- Vassili Salei – Managing Partner – Borovtsov & Salei
- Uwe Rautner – Partner – Rautner Attorneys at Law
- Yuliya Chernykh – Partner – Arbitrade
This Article was originally published in Issue 2.1. of the CEE Legal Matters Magazine. If you would like to receive a hard copy of the magazine, you can subscribe here.